Checking the Leaderboards
April 27, 2009 3 Comments
I always like these early-season small-sample-size-be-damned articles about the early oddities in baseball. Kind of like an early preview of The Oddibe Awards from StatSpeak alum Eric Seidman. A few days ago on THT, Craig Brown took a fun look at some of the odd things going on in the baseball world. Here’s my favorite one:
Speaking of strand rate, Brett Myers is stranding 92 percent of all base runners, yet owns a 5.03 ERA.
That takes some effort.
Myers has thrown 19.2 innings and has allowed only 18 hits and six
walks. That’s not bad at all (fantasy players will recognize a 1.22
WHIP), but here’s the problem: Of his 18 hits, seven have left the
yard. With a career home run rate of 1.3 HR/9, Myers has always been
prone to the the long ball, but seven home runs in just under 20
innings of work gives him a rate of 3.2 HR/9.
His strand rate is low because, of the 10 runs he’s allowed, nine have
been the direct result of a home run. Five solo home runs and two
two-run home runs have accounted for the damage. He’s also allowed six
doubles. Pretty simple math tells us that means he’s surrendered only
five singles. Myers has always allowed extra base hits by the
bucketful, but this is kind of crazy.
What’s troubling is that it could be worse: Myers’ FIP is at 6.84. If
four more runners were on base for any of his home runs, his ERA would
be outpacing his FIP. He’s walking a fine line between disaster and
That should make Phillies fans real happy.