The NL MVP
September 13, 2005 10 Comments
Since I looked at the NL Cy Young race yesterday, let’s look at the NL MVP Race today. Here was how I approached this question. I used Dan Szymbroki’s wonderful Zips projections to find projections for the likely backups of Andruw Jones, Derrek Lee, and Albert Pujols. I prorated those numbers based on the number of outs each player made and added in defense (again, based on what Szymbroski’s projections say) to come up with a super linear weights-type number. Then, I looked at the linear weights and defense for the three starters, and subtracted their potential replacement’s super linear weights from their own, to come up with a value over replacement type stat. This, in my opinion, is actually how valuable a player has been to his team. So who was the winner? Derrek Lee, far and away, with a 56 VOR (I’ll leave the “P” to BP). Pujols and Jones were tied at 43.